+Jaz666 Posted June 14, 2007 Share Posted June 14, 2007 Seeing as there is another thread celebrating a milestones of postings in this forum, I thought I'd have a look at how near we all are to a much more significant milestone. The day when there are 20,000 active (i.e. not archived, but including temp disabled) caches in the UK. We are roughly 750 caches away from the magic number, and over the past six months there has been an average of 29 new caches a day. By that reckoning we are roughly 26 days away - however caches getting archived affects that number, and there are quiet weeks, and busy weeks. I'll make the first guess, and I'll stick to the 26 days - so I reckon 10th July 2007. Any advances????? Quote Link to comment
+HazelS Posted June 14, 2007 Share Posted June 14, 2007 I'll plump for the 12th July! Quote Link to comment
+GAZ Posted June 14, 2007 Share Posted June 14, 2007 I'll nab 7th July.....ta!! Quote Link to comment
+Budlaw Posted June 14, 2007 Share Posted June 14, 2007 15th July and Fat Bloke will have found them by 26th November (if he has a quiet spell at work!) Quote Link to comment
+Simply Paul Posted June 14, 2007 Share Posted June 14, 2007 Put me down for the 13th - a Friday. Quote Link to comment
Lactodorum Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 (edited) Ah! But more importantly who will have the honour of clicking the special "Publish" button? I guess it would be appropriate if I pushed the button on the 16th!! Edited June 15, 2007 by Lactodorum Quote Link to comment
+kewfriend Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 I'll go to the 1st July and a sudden rush of micros. Quote Link to comment
+Bambography Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 Ah! But more importantly who will have the honour of clicking the special "Publish" button? 6th July & Eckington. Quote Link to comment
+dibbler69 Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 14th July cause no ones picked it yet. Quote Link to comment
+Gralorn Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 Lucky 7...........7th July Quote Link to comment
+John Stead Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 It'll be Deceangi on 1st July if lollybob is in gear next weekend. All that work for our reviewers - thanks chaps! Quote Link to comment
+Stuey Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 Cheddar and caremelised onion quiche. What was the Q again? Quote Link to comment
+Lotho Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 Looks like i should go and add two more to that number =D 6 caches hidden with only 35 finds?! Cachers with thousands dont always even have one cache! I must be mad! Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted June 20, 2007 Author Share Posted June 20, 2007 My little spreadsheet is still predicting the 10th July. In reality I think it might be tricky to pinpoint the exact milestone cache, but if our reviewers are willing to play along it could be done. http://www.geocaching.com/seek/nearest.aspx?country_id=11 lists how many active UK caches there are (19,434 right now), so perhaps on the big day, our reviewers could keep on checking that number after each new cache they publish, and let us know which is the magic cache? Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted June 20, 2007 Author Share Posted June 20, 2007 (edited) ooooops, forum threw a wobbly, double post. Edited June 20, 2007 by Jaz666 Quote Link to comment
Lactodorum Posted June 20, 2007 Share Posted June 20, 2007 My little spreadsheet is still predicting the 10th July. In reality I think it might be tricky to pinpoint the exact milestone cache, but if our reviewers are willing to play along it could be done. http://www.geocaching.com/seek/nearest.aspx?country_id=11 lists how many active UK caches there are (19,434 right now), so perhaps on the big day, our reviewers could keep on checking that number after each new cache they publish, and let us know which is the magic cache? Unfortunately this is what the Reviewers see: Total Records: 25179 - Page: 1 of 1259 This includes Archived caches so we won't see the magic figure Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted June 20, 2007 Author Share Posted June 20, 2007 Ahh well...... unless you enlist the help of your alter-egos? Quote Link to comment
Deceangi Posted June 21, 2007 Share Posted June 21, 2007 Don't forget to add in a fudge factor when predicting the date, there's a few caches which have a delayed publication date. Some of which will go live before the 10th of July My alter ego reckons it's 19,451 now and counting Quote Link to comment
+The Cache Hoppers Posted June 21, 2007 Share Posted June 21, 2007 Phillimore Clan have placed 25 (possibly more) caches for this weekend's camping event .... not yet live - my inbox is gonna be hammered later when they get published. Quote Link to comment
Lactodorum Posted June 21, 2007 Share Posted June 21, 2007 Phillimore Clan have placed 25 (possibly more) caches for this weekend's camping event .... not yet live - Don't I know it! Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted June 27, 2007 Author Share Posted June 27, 2007 After a chat in the geochat channel about if the recent weather has slowed down cache placement, and if that will affect the predicted date when we'll hit 20,000 active caches, I've re-written my little (yeah right) spreadsheet. My original prediction was the 10th July Now here's the predictions according to the different placement rates. Rate in the last year = 25 per day = 12th July Last six months = 31 per day = 9th July Last three months = 38 per day = 7th July Last month (up until last Saturday) = 34 per day = 8th July So, I don't think we'll be able to pin an exact day down just yet! Quote Link to comment
The Birches Head Hunters Posted July 2, 2007 Share Posted July 2, 2007 How far away now? Quote Link to comment
+kbootb Posted July 2, 2007 Share Posted July 2, 2007 So that explains why Lacto archived one of my caches today.... fiddling the figures again Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted July 2, 2007 Author Share Posted July 2, 2007 Quite a few caches have been archived in the past few days, so that's thrown the dates back a bit. Based on the placement rate in the last 3 months, 10th July. Probably due to the weather, the rate has slowed in the last month, so it could be the 11th. Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted July 4, 2007 Author Share Posted July 4, 2007 Less than 300 caches to go! Now looking like the 11th at the earliest. Quote Link to comment
+Mad H@ter Posted July 5, 2007 Share Posted July 5, 2007 (edited) Phillimore Clan have placed 25 (possibly more) caches for this weekend's camping event .... not yet live - Don't I know it! Oops, Sorry And thanks for all the hard work, all caches approved at amazing speed as usual Edited July 5, 2007 by Phillimore Clan Quote Link to comment
Deceangi Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 Less than 300 caches to go! Now looking like the 11th at the earliest. well the 11th has passed with just over a hundred to go [a slightly busy night couldn't quite take us over 19900 ] Quote Link to comment
+HazelS Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 oooh, my guess was today, 12th July... come on folks, get out there and set some new caches!!! Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted July 12, 2007 Author Share Posted July 12, 2007 Less than 300 caches to go! Now looking like the 11th at the earliest. well the 11th has passed with just over a hundred to go [a slightly busy night couldn't quite take us over 19900 ] You'll have to blame Eckington, who seemed to get a bit trigger happy with the archive button a few days ago which means we've dropped a few days behind. At time of writing there's 106 to go. The placement rates for the last month, 3 months, and 6 months now all point to 3ish days - so it looks like Saturday could be the day. Quote Link to comment
Lactodorum Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 Less than 300 caches to go! Now looking like the 11th at the earliest. well the 11th has passed with just over a hundred to go [a slightly busy night couldn't quite take us over 19900 ] You'll have to blame Eckington, who seemed to get a bit trigger happy with the archive button a few days ago which means we've dropped a few days behind. At time of writing there's 106 to go. The placement rates for the last month, 3 months, and 6 months now all point to 3ish days - so it looks like Saturday could be the day. Well Monday is my "special" day so I think I'd better think about doing some archiving to delay it until then Quote Link to comment
Deceangi Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 99 caches to go now with more certain to go into the queue today Sorry Hazel the most I've personally ever published [not counting pre-reviewed for events] is 50+ in a day [Eckington and Lactodorum were both off duty at the time] , so it wont be today Quote Link to comment
+The Cache Hoppers Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 Six Renegade Rabbit ones just gone live, and one from us in the queue Quote Link to comment
+Eckington Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 Six Renegade Rabbit ones just gone live, and one from us in the queue ......................Oh no there isn't! Quote Link to comment
+The Cache Hoppers Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 (edited) Six Renegade Rabbit ones just gone live, and one from us in the queue ......................Oh no there isn't! Pfffft! You're just too quick! Righto .... another one coming your way Edited to add: Its submitted!!! Please sah, ever so grateful sah! Edited July 12, 2007 by The Cache Hoppers Quote Link to comment
+MartyBartfast Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 When number 20,000 is published it's gonna be like the first day of Harrods sale with everyone going for the FTF. Quote Link to comment
Deceangi Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 When number 20,000 is published it's gonna be like the first day of Harrods sale with everyone going for the FTF. What you haven't heard No 20,000 is being actioned off to the highest bidder all proceeds going into the UK Reviewer retirement fund Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted July 13, 2007 Author Share Posted July 13, 2007 85 to go...... I know a handful in North Yorks just got archived, so that may have set us back a bit. Typical, just when we're getting near, my home Broadband connection is dead! Quote Link to comment
Lactodorum Posted July 15, 2007 Share Posted July 15, 2007 Ah! But more importantly who will have the honour of clicking the special "Publish" button? I guess it would be appropriate if I pushed the button on the 16th!! 1 day and 49 caches to go! ...and anyone who connects this with a couple of other forum posts has finally got the message!! Quote Link to comment
+Lotho Posted July 15, 2007 Share Posted July 15, 2007 (edited) 37 caches to go Edited July 15, 2007 by Lotho Quote Link to comment
+Us 4 and Jess Posted July 15, 2007 Share Posted July 15, 2007 I have 7 ready to submit for the Durham Meet M Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted July 15, 2007 Author Share Posted July 15, 2007 Just 25 to go, dare I go to bed? Quote Link to comment
+Eckington Posted July 15, 2007 Share Posted July 15, 2007 Just 25 to go, dare I go to bed? ................no more in the queue, at the moment, 2235hrs Quote Link to comment
Edgemaster Posted July 15, 2007 Share Posted July 15, 2007 I bet it'll come tomorrow. Quote Link to comment
+Jaz666 Posted July 15, 2007 Author Share Posted July 15, 2007 Just 25 to go, dare I go to bed? ................no more in the queue, at the moment, 2235hrs OK, own up, who's unarchived two caches since your post Quote Link to comment
Edgemaster Posted July 15, 2007 Share Posted July 15, 2007 19982, getting veeery close now. Quote Link to comment
+Bambography Posted July 16, 2007 Share Posted July 16, 2007 Are we nearly there yet?? Quote Link to comment
+Bambography Posted July 16, 2007 Share Posted July 16, 2007 Are we nearly there yet?? Found the link now! v close! Quote Link to comment
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