+fi67 Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 The extended statistics DougK recently published on his home page have inspired me to play a bit with some of these numbers. My idea was that the breakdown of the posting numbers into departments can be seen as a vector in a 15-dimensional continuum; when I normalize this vector to a common length, all this vectors are coordinates on the "surface" of a multi-sphere. Now this is pretty useless, because a human being is completely lost in such a continuum, our brains are just not made for these things. But the distance between two of those multi-coordinates are a simple length and the maths behind are surprisingly simple. So the big picture is stored somewhere and not accessible for our imagination, but I can find relations between a given coordinate (e.g. all waymarks by the same poster or within the same area) and easily find the distance to all other sets. So first I checked how close the "fingerprints" of different countries are to the whole set of all waymarks. When the length of this vector is set to 100, how far are the countries with over 1000 waymarks to the average? (After having seen lots of these numbers I can say that distances below 30 are very close, below 40 can still be seen as neighbours.) 1. United States, distance 17.15 (this is no surprise, the country with more than two thirds of all waymarks is doomed to be close to the average) 2. Canada, distance 17.22 (this is extremely close) 3. Portugal, 29.38 4. New Zealand 31.42 5. Switzerland 41.29 6. Austria 41.44 7. Germany 42.65 8. Finland 50.50 9. Spain 52.73 10. Italy 54.58 Counties that have high numbers, maybe a national category, in departments that are not very wide-spread in the rest of the world have large distances like the Netherlands (116.38) or South Africa (107.90). These countries have a larger distance to the average than someone who has never waymarked at all, which would result in a distance of 100. And remember, this has nothing to do with quality or anything like that, it's neither good nor bad to be close or far away. It's just a neutral fingerprint, that can show some relations, some with a reason, some accidental, that's all. What about users? The waymarkers with a fingerprint closest to the complete database are: 1. linkys, 23.29 2. NorStar, 27.00 3. Dunbar Loop, 29.49 4. cldisme, 31.33 5. Chasing Blue Sky, 31.90 6. Benchmark Blasterz, 32.06 7. PTCRAZY, 32.42 8. ChaptehouseInc, 32.82 9. Peter and Gloria, 33.52 10. GT.US, 33.60 The most extreme idividualists here are HitchinLookers (120.03), Meirion (116.38), and bill&ben (113.85), surprisingly they are all from the UK and this is also a reason that the UK cannot be found in the list of the most average countries. These are the basic numbers, I will soon follow up with some detailed country numbers, that are quite interesting. This formula can be used to compare almost any set of waymarks, like who is closest to me? What is someone's distance to a country/region/user in 2014 compared to the years before? and many more. If you are interested in specific numbers, just ask. Just a nice footnote for now: just after I had finished my sheet with the calculations, I read an article in my favorite IT journal about automated text (especially email) analysis like it is done by the NSA and others, and... oops, that's only a highly sophisticated cousin of what I have done, but based on the same core priciples. Quote Link to comment
+lumbricus Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 Very interesting, I'm looking forward to read more of these stats. Quote Link to comment
+fi67 Posted June 24, 2014 Author Share Posted June 24, 2014 Some more numbers: I have checked the Waymarking pattern for waymarkers with over 1000 posts compared to all countries with more than 2000 posts. The pattern for the users is calculated from all waymarks, not only those in the given country; it does not even matter if this person has ever visited that country. The results: United States 21.42 linkys 23.78 Benchmark Blasterz 24.77 cldisme 29.02 PTCRAZY 30.50 Chasing Blue Sky 32.19 scrambler390 32.34 vhasler 32.90 NorStar 33.67 Dunbar Loop 33.92 Marine Biologist This list is similar to the global list. There are four users closer than 30. And most of the users are from the US. United Kingdom 25.38 Dragontree 27.10 Master Mariner 35.67 N!TR0 37.30 GEO*Trailblazer 1 42.54 flipflopnick 45.54 Norfolk12 55.97 BK-Hunters 58.96 kJfishman 59.31 Peter and Gloria 59.46 gladtobehere The UK list is different, the distances are generally larger. There are only two users below 30, both are locals. Five out of the ten closests are from the UK. Canada 22.85 ChapterhouseInc 29.36 GT.US 30.26 Peter and Gloria 33.95 linkys 35.89 monkeys4ever 35.91 cldisme 37.52 silverquill 38.37 NorStar 38.38 hotshoe 39.09 BK-Hunters Canada has a similar pattern as the US, so there are some users that are also on the US lists. Only two below 30, but more below 40 than the UK. I think two users on the list are Canadians (or have at least a significant number of waymarks posted there). Czech Republic 35.03 N!TR0 35.11 Master Mariner 38.67 flipflopnick 44.49 Dragontree 45.49 Norfolk12 49.99 BK-Hunters 51.84 ToRo61 57.22 vraatja 60.98 kJfishman 61.14 GEO*Trailblazer 1 That's the first surprising result. The Czech list is dominated by people from the UK who have never been there. Both countries have more than average "Measurement Standards" waymarks, but the Czech waymarkers with over 1000 posts seem to have other favorites. Still, no one closer than 35, no local users closer than 50. Two Czech users are on the list. Of course, there are probaly several Czech waymarkers closer, just not the ones with over 1000 posts. Germany 25.69 luzzi1971 32.24 kJfishman 32.94 BK-Hunters 33.74 Tante.Hossi 34.30 flipflopnick 39.62 manchanegra 39.89 GT.US 39.89 silverquill 40.61 veritas vita 42.74 Vermontish luzzi1971 is the only user closer than 30. He is not German, but he lives not far behind the border and has a couple of hundred waymarks posted in Germany. Germany's most active Waymarker Tante.Hossi is quite close. No other German waymarkers on the list. Portugal 24.24 fi67 24.71 kJfishman 27.85 Vermontish 27.96 NorStar 30.75 silverquill 32.35 razalas 33.23 Dunbar Loop 35.38 cldisme 35.86 luzzi1971 37.26 linkys Another surprise, the most typical average Portuguese Waymarker is ... me? Well, why not? Four users closer than 30. Although there are a lot of Portuguese Waymarkers, razalas is the only one that is fairly close to the national average. France 35.47 thebeav69 40.41 vraatja 52.00 Meirion 52.46 N!TR0 52.50 Dragontree 62.78 Master Mariner 67.25 GEO*Trailblazer 1 68.22 Volcanoguy 69.48 Peter and Gloria 72.83 ChapterhouseInc Also France is extremely strong in "Measurement Standards" and has little Waymarkers in the millenium club. So this results are purely accidential, I am not sure if anyone on this list has ever visited France. Netherlands 100.58 Torgut 101.25 The 2 Newlyweds 104.80 kJfishman 105.24 DougK 106.93 debbado 108.46 outdoorboy34 110.89 macleod1 111.98 Dunbar Loop 113.41 hotshoe 113.71 BK-Hunters No Waymarker (with over 1000 posts) is closer than 100 to the Dutch average! My grandmother is closer than anyone here. That is because the Netherlands have very popular national categories in the "Recreation" department. This is very exotic. Australia 21.44 N!TR0 36.40 Dragontree 43.72 Master Mariner 51.54 Peter and Gloria 53.32 flipflopnick 58.04 NorStar 60.69 kJfishman 60.80 GEO*Trailblazer 1 61.12 thebeav69 61.92 Norfolk12 Australia looks similar to the UK, and the list is dominated by British waymarkers. Also the Chech pattern is not very different. Brazil 24.82 saopaulo1 34.88 macleod1 35.23 ucdvicky 44.15 wildwoodke 47.12 Torgut 47.22 The 2 Newlyweds 52.89 outdoorboy34 52.96 thegorilla23 55.02 silverquill 55.59 GT.US Most Brazilian waymarks are by saopaulo1. So it makes sense that he is closest. This shows that his Waymarking habits abroad are similar to the ones at home. New Zealand 26.38 Dunbar Loop 33.00 Chasing Blue Sky 36.64 Marine Biologist 36.99 linkys 37.76 kJfishman 39.09 BK-Hunters 40.23 hotshoe 40.85 NorStar 43.08 Benchmark Blasterz 43.37 Vermontish The NZ pattern is somewhere in between Portugal and the US, when you look at the numbers. The only user closer than 30 is a local (or was very active there, at least). Switzerland 10.41 fi67 22.43 Vermontish 26.51 razalas 29.44 NorStar 32.66 kJfishman 35.39 Dunbar Loop 36.32 RakeInTheCache 38.10 silverquill 40.86 cldisme 41.18 luzzi1971 Most Swiss waymarks are mine, most of my waymarks are in Switzerland, so I expected my close distance here. When you look at the other users, Switzerland is located somewhere near Portugal and NZ, also not too far from Germany and the US. Austria 19.90 luzzi1971 29.93 kJfishman 32.55 BK-Hunters 37.38 flipflopnick 38.43 GT.US 39.26 Tante.Hossi 39.40 silverquill 39.70 Dunbar Loop 40.23 Vermontish 41.97 manchanegra Closest to the Austria pattern is Austria's most active waymarker, no surprise. Generally Austria is a bit similar to Germany, but also not too far from the NZ-PT-CH cluster Spain 39.88 Dragontree 41.81 flipflopnick 43.98 BK-Hunters 46.32 N!TR0 47.53 kJfishman 47.64 Master Mariner 49.74 luzzi1971 52.41 bluesnote 54.69 ChapterhouseInc 55.31 manchanegra There is no active Waymarking community in Spain, as far as I can see. Most waymarks were created by tourists. The common result is similar to the UK-CZ-AU group, but also a bit into the direction of Austria. Quote Link to comment
+lumbricus Posted June 24, 2014 Share Posted June 24, 2014 Now I don't get it. Where am I? Quote Link to comment
+silverquill Posted June 24, 2014 Share Posted June 24, 2014 I don't understand either set of numbers, but I struggled with statistics. For the second group, why would I appear on five or six countries where I have NO waymarks, and another where I have only one, but NOT on any of the other 12 countries where I have waymarks? I suppose some of those don't have 2,000 waymarks. Korea could have that many if I ever got them all posted. I should try to bring it up to 1,000 at least. Where is one stat I would really like to see -- how many UNIQUE waymark contributors have there been since the beginning? To see annual figures on this would also be interesting. And, as Waymarking.com has become more and more international, are there any stats to show this progression, either by waymarks per country or per waymarkers? Long live the number crunchers! Quote Link to comment
+fi67 Posted June 25, 2014 Author Share Posted June 25, 2014 (edited) I don't understand either set of numbers, but I struggled with statistics. For the second group, why would I appear on five or six countries where I have NO waymarks, and another where I have only one, but NOT on any of the other 12 countries where I have waymarks? I suppose some of those don't have 2,000 waymarks. Korea could have that many if I ever got them all posted. I should try to bring it up to 1,000 at least. These numbers are not about quantity or size, they describe patterns. I compare the statistical distribution of the different departments within your posting habits to the ones of others. These results show that the pattern of your waymarks, the way you distribute the postings over the different Waymarking departments, has some similarities with the ones found in Portugal, a bit less Canada or Switzerland. It does not mean that you have done any of the waymarks in these countries, it's just a similar pattern. And that your waymarks dominate Korea does not necessarily mean that your global pattern is very similar to the Korean one. What I think is interesting in these statistic is the fact, that there are some groups of countries that are close together in the patterns like the UK-CZ-AU, US-CA, PT-CH-NZ and others that are very singular without close neighbors like the Netherland, France and Brazil. Where is one stat I would really like to see -- how many UNIQUE waymark contributors have there been since the beginning? To see annual figures on this would also be interesting. And, as Waymarking.com has become more and more international, are there any stats to show this progression, either by waymarks per country or per waymarkers? Long live the number crunchers! Oh, yes! I would like to see those, too. But they cannot be obtained without direct access to the database. The possibilities we have over the web site do not allow this. Edited June 25, 2014 by fi67 Quote Link to comment
+fi67 Posted June 25, 2014 Author Share Posted June 25, 2014 Now I don't get it. Where am I? You are quite an individualist. The departmental distribution of your waymarks is not very common. Your closest country patterns are Switzerland (46.45) and Portugal (47.79), but this is not very close. There is one user that has a distance to you that is below 40: razalas with 37.70 Quote Link to comment
+BruceS Posted June 25, 2014 Share Posted June 25, 2014 I don't see my numbers anywhere. I would guess I as my posting are quite tilted to one department I don't follow any country norm. Quote Link to comment
+fi67 Posted June 26, 2014 Author Share Posted June 26, 2014 I don't see my numbers anywhere. I would guess I as my posting are quite tilted to one department I don't follow any country norm. Exactly, the specialists are usually far aaway from the average. The country closest to your fingerprint is the US with a distance of 42.43. But there are some other users fairly close: ddtfamily 18.41, onfire4jesus 22.62, iconions 29.16, and twelve more who are closer than 40. Quote Link to comment
+NorStar Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 (edited) On the other hand, I appear to be THE VERY EXAMPLE of the world and US distributions, coming in 2nd and 8th, resp. and on many of the other lists. Not sure how to take that...trying to be different and only end up being the poster child of average.... Thanks for the work - I encourage more data! Edited July 4, 2014 by NorStar Quote Link to comment
+dtrebilc Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 When I originally saw this post I wondered whether a similar thing could be done for places rather than people. I'm sure a place's location and history will to some extent affect the type of waymarks posted. (Of course with such a small volume of waymarks ACTUALLY posted compared to the total population of things in the world that COULD be posted the results won't be perfect, and in many ways will reflect the interests of the waymarkers that have done the posting). Originally I couldn't decide how to define 'place', but have recently realised that in Waymarking terms it can be simply be all waymarks within a specified radius from a selected waymark. When I'm going to go to a new place I always look to see what waymarks exist to give me an idea of what the place is like, but to do this you can only view the waymarks 25 at a time and its difficult to get an overall feel of the place. I don't know whether the type of analysis you do would work with places but would be interested to know what you think. As a retired programmer I would love to have a go at analysing data myself, but I don't know how you extract the relevant information or how it's organised /processed. Quote Link to comment
+fi67 Posted July 22, 2019 Author Share Posted July 22, 2019 It is no problem to calculate this fingerprint for a given coordinate and a defined radius. But this fingerprint is just a 15-dimensional vector. No human being can make anything useful of that. You always have to compare two fingerprints, the result is a simple distance, a number we can understand. There are several approaches for something you might want to see. One example could be to create an ideal master pattern for you. If you would waymark an unexplored area that has absolutely everything to offer, how would your department distribution look? E.g. 20% History, 15% Structures, 12% Nature, 10% Buildings, and so on. Then we can calculate the distances between this master and some areas you would like to visit. But whatever the result is, it does not say anything about the real place, just what has already been waymarked there. A close distance means, it is a good place to visit waymarks, but maybe the area is already saturated in your favorite fields. On the other hand, a very distant number could say, the best places are still left for you to take, or this area just has nothing interesting to offer at all. We don't know. We will never know. These data are just not in the numbers. In my opinion these fingerprints are nice to analyze the past but not at all useful for planning the future. You will have to wait some two weeks for more details or formulas. I am in the mountains right now without access to a real computer, even less to the one with my old calculations and data. Quote Link to comment
+dtrebilc Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Thanks for replying so quickly. I wasn't really sure whether anything useful could be determined from the information, but based on your original post I guess comparing the results with either the total database, or the total set of waymarks for the country would say how close to the average that place was. The percentage breakdown by department might also be interesting in itself as an indication of what the place is like. Anyway I hope you have a great time in the mountains. Dave Quote Link to comment
+PISA-caching Posted July 24, 2019 Share Posted July 24, 2019 It's interesting to see that I'm not in the statistics for Austria, although 1/5 of the Austrian waymarks are mine and they are the majority of all the waymarks I posted. Quote Link to comment
+T0SHEA Posted July 24, 2019 Share Posted July 24, 2019 I like to be able to visualize things and avoid 15 dimension objects whenever possible. ? You're apparently using advanced math with which I'm not familiar, so I have an alternative which people might be able to find more digestible. It may be completely off the mark but your last post makes me think an alternative, and much simpler method, might help me, if not others, understand the point of this. Here it is: For each Waymarker or each area under investigation plot a two dimensional radial graph with 15 vectors, each separated by 24 degrees. Then calculate and plot a 16th vector which represents the vector sum of the 15 vectors. To find the "distance" between Waymarkers, areas, etc. simply measure the "distance" between the ends of the 16th vector from two individual graphs. Is this anything near what you're doing? I've never tried it, but something like Excel might be just the ticket for calculating and plotting vector sums. Keith Quote Link to comment
+fi67 Posted July 25, 2019 Author Share Posted July 25, 2019 12 hours ago, PISA-caching said: It's interesting to see that I'm not in the statistics for Austria, although 1/5 of the Austrian waymarks are mine and they are the majority of all the waymarks I posted. Those numbers are from 2014. The current data could be very different. Quote Link to comment
+fi67 Posted July 25, 2019 Author Share Posted July 25, 2019 8 hours ago, BK-Hunters said: Is this anything near what you're doing? Sort of. Your plan looks a bit like what I originally wanted to do when I played with those numbers. But I soon found out, that it is absolutely necessary to keep all 15 dimensions until the bitter end. When you look at the stars, you have no idea how the constellations would look like from a totally different angle. You loose a lot of information just by reducing from three dimensions to two. This information loss grows exponentially with higher dimensions. The result is a number. But this number is not a distance anymore. It is almost pure random. Very distant patterns can have an identical vector. Quote Link to comment
+T0SHEA Posted July 25, 2019 Share Posted July 25, 2019 Now I have to sit and think for a while to figure out whether I agree or not. It makes for a very interesting thought experiment, I will say. This part disturbs me at present: "Very distant patterns can have an identical vector." It needs rumination on my part. Keith Quote Link to comment
+PISA-caching Posted July 25, 2019 Share Posted July 25, 2019 3 hours ago, fi67 said: Those numbers are from 2014. The current data could be very different. That makes sense. :-) I have to remember to always read the fine print. Quote Link to comment
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.