+Roman! Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) I should be hitting Route 66 on January 20th (give or take a day) and plan on doing most the route the first day so here's the contest: Guess how many caches I'll find on my first day on Route 66, closest wins a 1 year premium membership. All caches found that day count. Only 1 guess/person. If 2 people post the same guess the first person to post it wins. If two people tie with one over the total and one under the total the one under the total wins. No guesses after 11:59 PM January 19th will count. Anyone can guess. Some hints to help you make an educated guess: I should arrive in Barstow early evening the day before I start and stay in a motel/hotel. I will be starting at sun up at the beginning of the route. I will not be diverting to find any geoart. My daughter (new driver) will drive and my son will help me open the containers. I will sign every log with an "R". I have bought 2 headlamps. If you have any questions to help you guess I will answer any questions posted up until January 17th. Winner will have their premium membership paid by the end of January. Good Luck Edited January 3, 2013 by Roman! Quote Link to comment
+badger10 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Since I am the first to guess I hope that gives me some kind of edge. I guess 976. Quote Link to comment
+The_Incredibles_ Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 How about signing "TI" after your "R" and I'll buy YOU a 1 year premium membership? Quote Link to comment
+Roman! Posted January 3, 2013 Author Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) How about signing "TI" after your "R" and I'll buy YOU a 1 year premium membership? Haha, I don't play that way. But if you were to cook me dinner I might be persuaded. For a second there I though we were talking about a recent thread of mine that was locked but there is a "T" missing. Edited January 3, 2013 by Roman! Quote Link to comment
+steben6 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) My guess is 822. Good luck! Edited January 3, 2013 by steben6 Quote Link to comment
+LewisClan77 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 I'll guess 777. Quote Link to comment
+NYPaddleCacher Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 My guess will be 740 assuming you don't throw down any containers if you have a DNF (not saying that you but but that could skew the results). Quote Link to comment
+DogArtist Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Hmmm...after looking at your stats and the map of the area, here's my wild guess: 247. Quote Link to comment
+SoloSeekers ヅ Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 I will guess 255 Good Luck! Happy Caching! Quote Link to comment
nonaeroterraqueous Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 117. No rational reason, really. Quote Link to comment
+Straight-Cache-Homey Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 412 - thanks! Quote Link to comment
+K13 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) 213 edit to add: (and if when I win, the PM can go to my son. The guess-number is from our shared racecar.) Edited January 4, 2013 by K13 Quote Link to comment
+Mudfrog Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Ok, i figured out the moon's alignment, wind direction, wind speed, and high temperature for that day. Then, depending on whether you're driving a 2 or 4 door vehicle, added 1.8 to 2.3 seconds to the time. With each cache being .10 miles apart, tire pressures of 32 lbs, heavy gas pedal usage, and decent brakes, i figured the average time in seconds to drive to each cache. I then deducted .4 seconds because of the curvature of the R that you would be siging each log with. Let's see,, a*b(5x2/7)+6^=AB- AB- (375+.03)x66=5.76583456541 5x(.4x37591)=0.812 8x1.9845/529+7-24367596128 = 646 You'll end up finding 646 caches total. Quote Link to comment
+T.D.M.22 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 My guess is 314-However if I win give the PM to the first person you see on the forums that does not have a PM Quote Link to comment
+Mastifflover Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 I'll guess an even 500 Quote Link to comment
+captnemo Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Enjoy the hunt but be sure and NOT use throw downs on the caches that are in the area that are NOT part of the trail. My guess is 666. Quote Link to comment
+clarinetqueen Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 My guess is 467. Good luck! Quote Link to comment
+Lil Devil Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Five. Then something will explode on your car and you'll sit there waiting 4 hours for a tow truck. Better luck next time. Quote Link to comment
+the4dirtydogs Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) What time do you plan on stopping? DO you plan on grabbing other caches that are not part of the series? Edited January 3, 2013 by the4dirtydogs Quote Link to comment
+The A-Team Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 $1 No wait, that's the wrong game... Will you be using any "power trail optimizations", like three cache monte, or will it be straight-up, traditional geocaching? Assuming it's straight-up, I'll guess 556. Why that number? I figured it would be in the 500s, so I typed a 5, then mashed my numpad to fill in the last two digits. Seems as good a method as any... Quote Link to comment
+tweetiepy Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) 666 is my guess - best of luck BTW can non-premium members post in threads? I tried posting before I got a trial membership and couldn't - just curious Just saw that this was taken - darn! - I'll say 669 instead Edited January 4, 2013 by tweetiepy Quote Link to comment
+J the Goat Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 At least 1. Do I win? 451. Quote Link to comment
+The A-Team Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 BTW can non-premium members post in threads? I tried posting before I got a trial membership and couldn't - just curious Yep. They won't be able to see the Off-Topic forum, but anyone can post in the rest of the forums. Quote Link to comment
Luckless Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) I'll guess 412-oops that's been taken- then I'll do 413 Edited January 3, 2013 by Luckless Quote Link to comment
+MeanderingMonkeys Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 587 Good luck and have fun!! Quote Link to comment
+niraD Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 592 But ditto what T.D.M.22 said: Give it to someone who needs it if I win. Quote Link to comment
4wheelin_fool Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 You will not find any. Your daughter will drive and your son will hand you the containers. Quote Link to comment
+Hemorrhage Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 My guess is 523. No particular reason for that number, just sounded good to me. Quote Link to comment
+BAMBOOZLE Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 512. I did 303 this summer starting in Barstow , being from the swamp I love the dessert......it was 107 degrees or more in the shade and there isn't any shade. We could have done more but quit early and ate at the diner in Ludlow.....food there was really good, then went across the interstate for an ice cream at the gas station...it the only oasis around and the folks really pile in. Have fun. Quote Link to comment
+NYPaddleCacher Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Five. Then something will explode on your car and you'll sit there waiting 4 hours for a tow truck. Better luck next time. Unlikely. He got a new car for Christmas. Quote Link to comment
SAVVY18 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 529 ... You got penny? (that last part was from an old Eddie Murphy bit...sorry) Quote Link to comment
+Roman! Posted January 3, 2013 Author Share Posted January 3, 2013 Enjoy the hunt but be sure and NOT use throw downs on the caches that are in the area that are NOT part of the trail. My guess is 666. I contacted the CO of the series and will replace any missing Route 66 caches but I will not replace any that are not part of the series. What time do you plan on stopping? DO you plan on grabbing other caches that are not part of the series? I only plan on doing caches along the route and the plan is to go sun up till after dark. $1 No wait, that's the wrong game... Will you be using any "power trail optimizations", like three cache monte, or will it be straight-up, traditional geocaching? Assuming it's straight-up, I'll guess 556. Why that number? I figured it would be in the 500s, so I typed a 5, then mashed my numpad to fill in the last two digits. Seems as good a method as any... I will sign every cache at the cache site, my son will help by opening and closing the caches and my daughter will drive. Five. Then something will explode on your car and you'll sit there waiting 4 hours for a tow truck. Better luck next time. Unlikely. He got a new car for Christmas. I hope not, I did get a new car . Quote Link to comment
+Mr. Wilson & a Mt. Goat Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 How about 572. Quote Link to comment
RedShoesGirl Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) I should be hitting Route 66 on January 20th (give or take a day) and plan on doing most the route the first day... at least you don't have to worry about rattlesnakes. be aware, cell phones don't work on all parts of the mother road. and it's cold out here! temps drop quite a bit after the sun goes down. Edited January 3, 2013 by RedShoesGirl Quote Link to comment
RedShoesGirl Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) ...my guess is 450. i forgot to factor in all the other caches on route 66 and not count just the power trail. edited to say "duh lara." Edited January 4, 2013 by RedShoesGirl Quote Link to comment
+Ms.Scrabbler Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 398 Have fun! Quote Link to comment
+Roman! Posted January 3, 2013 Author Share Posted January 3, 2013 (edited) I should be hitting Route 66 on January 20th (give or take a day) and plan on doing most the route the first day... at least you don't have to worry about rattlesnakes. be aware, cell phones don't work on all parts of the mother road. and it's cold out here! temps drop quite a bit after the sun goes down. That's good to hear, I was kinda concerned about rattlers and I do have my trial of onstar if I get in trouble. I did plan on caching after dark and we will bring warm clothes but if it does get too cold it may stop us. Edited January 3, 2013 by Roman! Quote Link to comment
+the4dirtydogs Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 I will say 835 caches only because you came too far not to finish the trail in one day. If you need a relief driver I would be more then happy to help you out so you can get them all. The cold isn't too bad it's the dang wind that sucks. Good luck and have fun out there, I know we did. Quote Link to comment
+humboldt flier Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Team STNY will be finishing up about the time you start, Three is our guess; The first one and the last one plus the November 2000 Jasmer which is in the general area Quote Link to comment
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